BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, October 13, 2024
Central Michigan 2024 Season Summary
National Average Data
Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
Points Per Game (PPG) |
26.70 |
26.64 |
26.66 (+0.02) |
Yards Per Game (YPG) |
379.93 |
374.92 |
376.36 (+1.44) |
Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.70 |
5.77 |
5.75 (-0.02) |
Central Michigan 2024 - Unit Statistics
Offense
Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
21.18 |
20.54 (-0.64) |
21.80 |
14.38 (-7.42) |
16.69 (+2.31) |
Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
324.55 |
306.56 (-17.99) |
388.20 |
335.98 (-52.22) |
324.95 (-11.03) |
Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
5.36 |
5.04 (-0.33) |
5.85 |
5.28 (-0.58) |
5.19 (-0.09) |
Defense
Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
30.09 |
34.14 (+4.04) |
32.80 |
38.74 (+5.94) |
37.01 (-1.73) |
Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
392.91 |
469.53 (+76.63) |
375.80 |
430.37 (+54.57) |
445.06 (+14.69) |
Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
6.30 |
7.19 (+0.89) |
6.18 |
6.95 (+0.77) |
7.04 (+0.09) |
Intangibles
Category
| Measure(s)
|
Home Field Advantage
| +1.9 |
Schedule Analysis
Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
2024-08-29 |
Central Connecticut |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 66-10 |
1-0 |
2024-09-07 |
@Florida International |
19.10 |
35.08 |
+15.98 |
54.18 |
24.37% |
L 16-52 |
1-1 |
2024-09-14 |
@Illinois |
15.82 |
41.47 |
+25.64 |
57.29 |
8.87% |
L 9-30 |
1-2 |
2024-09-21 |
Ball State |
29.49 |
21.98 |
-7.51 |
51.47 |
62.05% |
W 37-34 |
2-2 |
2024-09-28 |
San Diego State |
20.23 |
22.77 |
+2.54 |
43.00 |
45.92% |
W 22-21 |
3-2 |
2024-10-12 |
Ohio |
19.58 |
26.66 |
+7.08 |
46.24 |
38.65% |
L 25-27 |
3-3 |
2024-10-19 |
@Eastern Michigan |
23.62 |
35.90 |
+12.28 |
59.52 |
30.30% |
n/a |
n/a |
2024-10-26 |
@Miami (OH) |
11.62 |
27.73 |
+16.11 |
39.35 |
24.17% |
n/a |
n/a |
2024-11-05 |
Bowling Green |
19.14 |
33.43 |
+14.29 |
52.58 |
27.08% |
n/a |
n/a |
2024-11-12 |
@Toledo |
20.67 |
46.87 |
+26.20 |
67.54 |
7.98% |
n/a |
n/a |
2024-11-19 |
Western Michigan |
26.80 |
29.14 |
+2.34 |
55.94 |
46.24% |
n/a |
n/a |
2024-11-30 |
@Northern Illinois |
14.13 |
29.41 |
+15.28 |
43.55 |
25.49% |
n/a |
n/a |
Season Analysis
Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
3-9 |
14.15% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
4-8 |
34.12% |
14.15% |
85.85% |
5-7 |
32.21% |
48.27% |
51.73% |
6-6 |
15.26% |
80.48% |
19.52% |
7-5 |
3.79% |
95.74% |
4.26% |
8-4 |
0.45% |
99.54% |
0.46% |
9-3 |
0.02% |
99.98% |
0.02% |
Expected Wins Analysis
Record
| Probability
|
0-12 |
0.00% |
1-11 |
1.21% |
2-10 |
7.13% |
3-9 |
18.41% |
4-8 |
26.82% |
5-7 |
24.18% |
6-6 |
14.45% |
7-5 |
5.92% |
8-4 |
1.57% |
9-3 |
0.28% |
10-2 |
0.03% |